Conf = NESCAC ------ State = A
Mascot = Ephmen ------ Coach = George McCormackGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 93.5053406 home-field advantage = -0.32 Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 301 A Babson NEWMAC (11- 5, 92.1) 9- 7 305 A Union Liberty Leagu ( 4-10, 92.0) 12-10 308 H Bates NESCAC ( 9- 7, 93.3) 10-11 315 A Wesleyan NESCAC (11- 4, 97.3) 11-22 319 H RPI Liberty Leagu (14- 2, 96.2) 9-14 322 H Trinity NESCAC ( 8- 7, 93.4) 9-13 326 A Chris Newport CLC (15- 2, 96.3) 11-12 329 A Conn Col NESCAC ( 7- 8, 91.9) 14- 5 402 A Tufts NESCAC (16- 0, 99.9) 4-15 405 H Amherst NESCAC (10- 5, 95.8) 9- 6 409 A Hamilton NESCAC ( 7- 8, 93.2) 10-14 412 H Bowdoin NESCAC (13- 2, 98.2) 8-19 415 H MIT NEWMAC ( 7- 7, 90.5) 20- 9 419 A Colby NESCAC ( 3-10, 89.7) 15-13 423 H Middlebury NESCAC ( 9- 7, 95.0) 12-11 426 A Tufts NESCAC (16- 0, 99.9) 11-20
PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction. N/A when ten | | goal limit is exceeded | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 301 A Babson 9- 7 2 1 0.95 305 A Union 12-10 2 1 0.80 308 H Bates 10-11 -1 0 -1.60 315 A Wesleyan 11-22 -11 -4 - -2.85 319 H RPI 9-14 -5 -2 - -2.61 322 H Trinity 9-13 -4 0 -- -4.50 326 A Chris Newport 11-12 -1 -3 + 2.07 329 A Conn Col 14- 5 9 1 ++ 5.72 402 A Tufts 4-15 -11 -6 -0.30 405 H Amherst 9- 6 3 -1 ++ 4.99 409 A Hamilton 10-14 -4 0 - -3.96 412 H Bowdoin 8-19 -11 -4 - -2.69 415 H MIT 20- 9 11 3 + 3.64 419 A Colby 15-13 2 3 -1.47 423 H Middlebury 12-11 1 -1 + 2.13 426 A Tufts 11-20 -9 -6 -0.30UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 322 H Trinity 9-13 -4 0 -- -4.50 315 A Wesleyan 11-22 -11 -4 - -2.85 319 H RPI 9-14 -5 -2 - -2.61 409 A Hamilton 10-14 -4 0 - -3.96 412 H Bowdoin 8-19 -11 -4 - -2.69OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 329 A Conn Col 14- 5 9 1 ++ 5.72 405 H Amherst 9- 6 3 -1 ++ 4.99 326 A Chris Newport 11-12 -1 -3 + 2.07 415 H MIT 20- 9 11 3 + 3.64 423 H Middlebury 12-11 1 -1 + 2.13
RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Power Rating............. 93.52 Power Rank................. 14 SOS (PR) Rating.......... 87.37 SOS (PR) Rank.............. 1 SOS (RPI) Rating......... .7342 SOS (RPI) Rank............. 5 RPI Rating............... .5901 RPI Rank................... 43 Champ. Probability ...... 0.0 Championship Rank ......... 233 Selection sum ........... 127 Selection Rank ............ 38 Qual Win (PR) Rating..... -35. Qual Win (PR) Rank......... 45 Qual Win (RPI) Rating.... -85. Qual Win (RPI) Rank........ 79 PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals ..... 10.9 Ave Defensive Goals ....... 12.6 Wins/Losses(all )...... 7- 9 Ave Goal diff (all )..... -1.7 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... 3.0 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... 1.3 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... -2.0